Eight American Idol contestants have albums scheduled for release in the next few months. Here's my prediction for the order in which they will all shake out in album sales:
1. Carrie Underwood (Nov. 3) - her third album should be a monster. Expect this to be a big seller.
2. Adam Lambert (Nov. 24) - I don't predict Daughtry-level sales, but maybe close. I think it will be big. A single from the 2012 soundtrack with some early great buzz should help generate even more excitement about the album.
3. Kris Allen (Nov. 17) - this could be hit or miss. If it is one of those schmaltzy, sappy Idol albums, it will do poorly. If they let him do his thing (think of the acoustic version of Heartless or his cover of She Works Hard for the Money), it could do well.
4. Jason Castro (Nov. 17) - going head to head with Kris Allen may be a gamble, but the early word on this album is that it has the potential to be excellent. He has the power of a major label and some top-drawer producers in his corner. It could do surprisingly well.
5. David Archuleta (Oct 13) - a safe album of traditional Christmas classics. A decent number of people will pick it up. It's nothing that anyone will get too worked up over.
6. Allison Iraheta (Nov. 10) - no one knows much about what direction she has decided to take this album. There is little buzz. It should sell fair, but not well.
7. Blake Lewis (Oct. 6) - talented guy with a potential excellent album, but the Tommy Boy label suggests it is headed for limited sales.
8. Katherine McPhee (Oct. 6) - meh. She seems like a lovely person, though.
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